Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 2.131345 2.428830 2.752487 3.130737 3.560667 4.034171 4.595306
2025-09-21 1.637445 2.035023 2.505619 3.103633 3.843483 4.729118 5.870524
2025-09-28 1.352710 1.784803 2.326849 3.056598 4.013698 5.226980 6.883589
2025-10-05 1.252299 1.735385 2.370947 3.268043 4.502229 6.141870 8.488913
2025-10-12 1.114375 1.611628 2.293491 3.296387 4.734675 6.724941 9.693259
2025-10-19 1.030946 1.549035 2.286274 3.411277 5.085737 7.488698 11.206368
2025-10-26 0.924455 1.438544 2.195349 3.389834 5.229242 7.958354 12.324776
2025-11-02 0.836786 1.345122 2.117378 3.374977 5.373609 8.431910 13.479570
2025-11-09 0.751067 1.244692 2.017056 3.312272 5.432424 8.771859 14.446477
2025-11-16 0.699365 1.192749 1.986476 3.354775 5.657708 9.385036 15.894748
2025-11-23 0.653324 1.145012 1.957142 3.394348 5.877937 10.002708 17.396281
2025-11-30 0.603266 1.085188 1.901500 3.382752 6.007802 10.476256 18.687220
2025-12-07 0.545047 1.009231 1.817794 3.326344 6.075589 10.885066 19.969363
2025-12-14 0.496626 0.946552 1.752486 3.298496 6.195833 11.404553 21.517200
2025-12-21 0.451055 0.883818 1.680012 3.248480 6.267497 11.838374 22.942187
2025-12-28 0.446510 0.898249 1.750750 3.473131 6.873671 13.305987 26.451034
2026-01-04 0.417946 0.862552 1.722553 3.503243 7.106614 14.088403 28.706213
2026-01-11 0.402552 0.851430 1.740512 3.625305 7.530626 15.274014 31.867686
2026-01-18 0.372992 0.808019 1.689796 3.602523 7.658129 15.882186 33.909518
2026-01-25 0.346983 0.769342 1.644840 3.586739 7.797282 16.523548 36.076373
2026-02-01 0.318728 0.722889 1.579160 3.520120 7.821318 16.926658 37.769998
2026-02-08 0.302783 0.701952 1.565720 3.565276 8.090731 17.869504 40.722476
2026-02-15 0.287800 0.681644 1.551637 3.607319 8.356393 18.825720 43.790899